{
  "experiment": "senat-2026",
  "series": "blend",
  "date": "2026-10-05",
  "rho": 0.55,
  "method": "log-odds pool of AI s modelem and de-vigged market, w_blind=(1-rho)/(2-rho)",
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          "key": "Plevny",
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        {
          "key": "Tsoukernik",
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        {
          "key": "Cerna",
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        {
          "key": "Someone_else",
          "p": 0.0486
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    {
      "n": 6,
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          "key": "Tresl",
          "p": 0.6838
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        {
          "key": "Mikolas",
          "p": 0.2121
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        {
          "key": "Steiner",
          "p": 0.035
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        {
          "key": "Someone_else",
          "p": 0.069
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      ]
    },
    {
      "n": 9,
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        {
          "key": "Aschenbrenner",
          "p": 0.3714
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        {
          "key": "Rehka",
          "p": 0.518
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        {
          "key": "Kantorova",
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        {
          "key": "Pouskova",
          "p": 0.0172
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        {
          "key": "Someone_else",
          "p": 0.0399
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      ]
    },
    {
      "n": 12,
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        {
          "key": "Fiala",
          "p": 0.8717
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        {
          "key": "Hrdinova",
          "p": 0.0989
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        {
          "key": "Usaty",
          "p": 0.0293
        },
        {
          "key": "Someone_else",
          "p": 0.0001
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      ]
    },
    {
      "n": 15,
      "candidates": [
        {
          "key": "Med",
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        {
          "key": "Chalupsky",
          "p": 0.2614
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        {
          "key": "Kozar",
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        {
          "key": "PavluRadova",
          "p": 0.0283
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        {
          "key": "Someone_else",
          "p": 0.0233
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      ]
    },
    {
      "n": 18,
      "candidates": [
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          "key": "Stepanek",
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        {
          "key": "Danhova",
          "p": 0.0998
        },
        {
          "key": "Luftova",
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        {
          "key": "Sorna",
          "p": 0.0198
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        {
          "key": "Someone_else",
          "p": 0.0141
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "n": 21,
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          "key": "Sablik",
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        {
          "key": "Laska",
          "p": 0.4491
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        {
          "key": "Sarapatka",
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        {
          "key": "Broz",
          "p": 0.0492
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        {
          "key": "Someone_else",
          "p": 0.0201
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      ]
    },
    {
      "n": 24,
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        {
          "key": "Smoljak",
          "p": 0.7971
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        {
          "key": "Peckova",
          "p": 0.1616
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        {
          "key": "Zalud",
          "p": 0.022
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        {
          "key": "Laube",
          "p": 0.0122
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        {
          "key": "Someone_else",
          "p": 0.0072
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "n": 27,
      "candidates": [
        {
          "key": "Padevet",
          "p": 0.5097
        },
        {
          "key": "J_Cizinsky",
          "p": 0.396
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        {
          "key": "Dudra",
          "p": 0.0503
        },
        {
          "key": "Someone_else",
          "p": 0.044
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      ]
    },
    {
      "n": 30,
      "candidates": [
        {
          "key": "Sipova",
          "p": 0.5106
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        {
          "key": "Patak",
          "p": 0.2985
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        {
          "key": "Gerloch",
          "p": 0.1386
        },
        {
          "key": "Someone_else",
          "p": 0.0523
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      ]
    },
    {
      "n": 33,
      "candidates": [
        {
          "key": "Linhart",
          "p": 0.8417
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        {
          "key": "Hejcman",
          "p": 0.0881
        },
        {
          "key": "Lehka",
          "p": 0.0495
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        {
          "key": "Skalicky",
          "p": 0.008
        },
        {
          "key": "Someone_else",
          "p": 0.0127
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "n": 36,
      "candidates": [
        {
          "key": "Puta",
          "p": 0.5734
        },
        {
          "key": "Volfova",
          "p": 0.2198
        },
        {
          "key": "Vosecky",
          "p": 0.1579
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        {
          "key": "Vomacka",
          "p": 0.044
        },
        {
          "key": "Someone_else",
          "p": 0.0048
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "n": 39,
      "candidates": [
        {
          "key": "Sobotka",
          "p": 0.9377
        },
        {
          "key": "Chovancova",
          "p": 0.0537
        },
        {
          "key": "Mraz",
          "p": 0.0051
        },
        {
          "key": "Someone_else",
          "p": 0.0035
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "n": 42,
      "candidates": [
        {
          "key": "Kaspar",
          "p": 0.6777
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        {
          "key": "Schulz",
          "p": 0.1237
        },
        {
          "key": "Brzobohata",
          "p": 0.1349
        },
        {
          "key": "Sehnal",
          "p": 0.0453
        },
        {
          "key": "Someone_else",
          "p": 0.0184
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "n": 45,
      "candidates": [
        {
          "key": "Dvorak",
          "p": 0.5547
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        {
          "key": "Holasek",
          "p": 0.1819
        },
        {
          "key": "Ceralova_Petrofova",
          "p": 0.1672
        },
        {
          "key": "Hulkova",
          "p": 0.0754
        },
        {
          "key": "Someone_else",
          "p": 0.0209
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "n": 48,
      "candidates": [
        {
          "key": "Grulich",
          "p": 0.9247
        },
        {
          "key": "Sadovsky",
          "p": 0.0751
        },
        {
          "key": "Someone_else",
          "p": 0.0002
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "n": 51,
      "candidates": [
        {
          "key": "Klement",
          "p": 0.5952
        },
        {
          "key": "Cerny",
          "p": 0.2453
        },
        {
          "key": "Smarda",
          "p": 0.1274
        },
        {
          "key": "Koten",
          "p": 0.0251
        },
        {
          "key": "Someone_else",
          "p": 0.0069
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "n": 54,
      "candidates": [
        {
          "key": "Tretina",
          "p": 0.6863
        },
        {
          "key": "Kynera",
          "p": 0.2054
        },
        {
          "key": "Beranova",
          "p": 0.0077
        },
        {
          "key": "RedovaFajmonova",
          "p": 0.0288
        },
        {
          "key": "Ruzicka",
          "p": 0.0267
        },
        {
          "key": "Cerny",
          "p": 0.045
        },
        {
          "key": "Someone_else",
          "p": 0.0002
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "n": 57,
      "candidates": [
        {
          "key": "Grolich",
          "p": 0.9493
        },
        {
          "key": "Absolonova",
          "p": 0.0455
        },
        {
          "key": "Fladr",
          "p": 0.0048
        },
        {
          "key": "Someone_else",
          "p": 0.0003
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "n": 60,
      "candidates": [
        {
          "key": "Papousek",
          "p": 0.7912
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        {
          "key": "Zitterbart",
          "p": 0.074
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        {
          "key": "Sterba",
          "p": 0.0957
        },
        {
          "key": "Someone_else",
          "p": 0.0391
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "n": 63,
      "candidates": [
        {
          "key": "Navarik",
          "p": 0.273
        },
        {
          "key": "Vrana",
          "p": 0.6831
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        {
          "key": "Chromec",
          "p": 0.0293
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        {
          "key": "Obrtel",
          "p": 0.0143
        },
        {
          "key": "Someone_else",
          "p": 0.0003
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "n": 66,
      "candidates": [
        {
          "key": "Ostadal",
          "p": 0.2444
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        {
          "key": "Kohajda",
          "p": 0.5368
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        {
          "key": "Skurek",
          "p": 0.17
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        {
          "key": "Jelinek",
          "p": 0.0355
        },
        {
          "key": "Someone_else",
          "p": 0.0133
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "n": 69,
      "candidates": [
        {
          "key": "Pesatova",
          "p": 0.5586
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        {
          "key": "Korc",
          "p": 0.3026
        },
        {
          "key": "Krpel",
          "p": 0.0654
        },
        {
          "key": "Someone_else",
          "p": 0.0735
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "n": 72,
      "candidates": [
        {
          "key": "Simetka",
          "p": 0.6081
        },
        {
          "key": "Barankova_Vilamova",
          "p": 0.2919
        },
        {
          "key": "Loprais",
          "p": 0.0276
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        {
          "key": "Someone_else",
          "p": 0.0725
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      ]
    },
    {
      "n": 75,
      "candidates": [
        {
          "key": "Brzyszkowska",
          "p": 0.7328
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        {
          "key": "Szyja",
          "p": 0.1024
        },
        {
          "key": "Polach",
          "p": 0.0391
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        {
          "key": "Stanek",
          "p": 0.0762
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        {
          "key": "Kazik",
          "p": 0.0311
        },
        {
          "key": "Someone_else",
          "p": 0.0184
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "n": 78,
      "candidates": [
        {
          "key": "Golan",
          "p": 0.7778
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        {
          "key": "Mitacek",
          "p": 0.0987
        },
        {
          "key": "Sedlarik",
          "p": 0.0958
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        {
          "key": "Someone_else",
          "p": 0.0278
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      ]
    },
    {
      "n": 81,
      "candidates": [
        {
          "key": "Bazala",
          "p": 0.8787
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        {
          "key": "Vasica",
          "p": 0.0805
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        {
          "key": "Balastikova",
          "p": 0.0201
        },
        {
          "key": "Someone_else",
          "p": 0.0207
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      ]
    }
  ]
}