{
  "experiment": "senat-2026",
  "series": "blend",
  "date": "2026-10-07",
  "rho": 0.55,
  "method": "log-odds pool of AI s modelem and de-vigged market, w_blind=(1-rho)/(2-rho)",
  "districts": [
    {
      "n": 3,
      "candidates": [
        {
          "key": "Plevny",
          "p": 0.5099
        },
        {
          "key": "Tsoukernik",
          "p": 0.4201
        },
        {
          "key": "Cerna",
          "p": 0.0306
        },
        {
          "key": "Someone_else",
          "p": 0.0395
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "n": 6,
      "candidates": [
        {
          "key": "Tresl",
          "p": 0.6643
        },
        {
          "key": "Mikolas",
          "p": 0.2348
        },
        {
          "key": "Steiner",
          "p": 0.0436
        },
        {
          "key": "Someone_else",
          "p": 0.0573
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "n": 9,
      "candidates": [
        {
          "key": "Aschenbrenner",
          "p": 0.3723
        },
        {
          "key": "Rehka",
          "p": 0.5134
        },
        {
          "key": "Kantorova",
          "p": 0.0507
        },
        {
          "key": "Pouskova",
          "p": 0.0192
        },
        {
          "key": "Someone_else",
          "p": 0.0444
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "n": 12,
      "candidates": [
        {
          "key": "Fiala",
          "p": 0.8874
        },
        {
          "key": "Hrdinova",
          "p": 0.0875
        },
        {
          "key": "Usaty",
          "p": 0.0249
        },
        {
          "key": "Someone_else",
          "p": 0.0001
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "n": 15,
      "candidates": [
        {
          "key": "Med",
          "p": 0.383
        },
        {
          "key": "Chalupsky",
          "p": 0.249
        },
        {
          "key": "Kozar",
          "p": 0.3276
        },
        {
          "key": "PavluRadova",
          "p": 0.0234
        },
        {
          "key": "Someone_else",
          "p": 0.0171
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "n": 18,
      "candidates": [
        {
          "key": "Stepanek",
          "p": 0.8659
        },
        {
          "key": "Danhova",
          "p": 0.0825
        },
        {
          "key": "Luftova",
          "p": 0.026
        },
        {
          "key": "Sorna",
          "p": 0.0149
        },
        {
          "key": "Someone_else",
          "p": 0.0107
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "n": 21,
      "candidates": [
        {
          "key": "Sablik",
          "p": 0.315
        },
        {
          "key": "Laska",
          "p": 0.4989
        },
        {
          "key": "Sarapatka",
          "p": 0.1264
        },
        {
          "key": "Broz",
          "p": 0.0462
        },
        {
          "key": "Someone_else",
          "p": 0.0135
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "n": 24,
      "candidates": [
        {
          "key": "Smoljak",
          "p": 0.785
        },
        {
          "key": "Peckova",
          "p": 0.1764
        },
        {
          "key": "Zalud",
          "p": 0.0234
        },
        {
          "key": "Laube",
          "p": 0.0091
        },
        {
          "key": "Someone_else",
          "p": 0.0061
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "n": 27,
      "candidates": [
        {
          "key": "Padevet",
          "p": 0.5213
        },
        {
          "key": "J_Cizinsky",
          "p": 0.3907
        },
        {
          "key": "Dudra",
          "p": 0.0458
        },
        {
          "key": "Someone_else",
          "p": 0.0422
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "n": 30,
      "candidates": [
        {
          "key": "Sipova",
          "p": 0.4707
        },
        {
          "key": "Patak",
          "p": 0.3116
        },
        {
          "key": "Gerloch",
          "p": 0.1118
        },
        {
          "key": "Someone_else",
          "p": 0.1058
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "n": 33,
      "candidates": [
        {
          "key": "Linhart",
          "p": 0.843
        },
        {
          "key": "Hejcman",
          "p": 0.0905
        },
        {
          "key": "Lehka",
          "p": 0.0447
        },
        {
          "key": "Skalicky",
          "p": 0.0084
        },
        {
          "key": "Someone_else",
          "p": 0.0134
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "n": 36,
      "candidates": [
        {
          "key": "Puta",
          "p": 0.5155
        },
        {
          "key": "Volfova",
          "p": 0.2838
        },
        {
          "key": "Vosecky",
          "p": 0.1358
        },
        {
          "key": "Vomacka",
          "p": 0.0572
        },
        {
          "key": "Someone_else",
          "p": 0.0077
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "n": 39,
      "candidates": [
        {
          "key": "Sobotka",
          "p": 0.9382
        },
        {
          "key": "Chovancova",
          "p": 0.0523
        },
        {
          "key": "Mraz",
          "p": 0.0056
        },
        {
          "key": "Someone_else",
          "p": 0.0038
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "n": 42,
      "candidates": [
        {
          "key": "Kaspar",
          "p": 0.7185
        },
        {
          "key": "Schulz",
          "p": 0.1186
        },
        {
          "key": "Brzobohata",
          "p": 0.1031
        },
        {
          "key": "Sehnal",
          "p": 0.0361
        },
        {
          "key": "Someone_else",
          "p": 0.0236
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "n": 45,
      "candidates": [
        {
          "key": "Dvorak",
          "p": 0.5484
        },
        {
          "key": "Holasek",
          "p": 0.1846
        },
        {
          "key": "Ceralova_Petrofova",
          "p": 0.1572
        },
        {
          "key": "Hulkova",
          "p": 0.087
        },
        {
          "key": "Someone_else",
          "p": 0.0228
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "n": 48,
      "candidates": [
        {
          "key": "Grulich",
          "p": 0.9247
        },
        {
          "key": "Sadovsky",
          "p": 0.0751
        },
        {
          "key": "Someone_else",
          "p": 0.0002
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "n": 51,
      "candidates": [
        {
          "key": "Klement",
          "p": 0.6592
        },
        {
          "key": "Cerny",
          "p": 0.2001
        },
        {
          "key": "Smarda",
          "p": 0.1145
        },
        {
          "key": "Koten",
          "p": 0.0207
        },
        {
          "key": "Someone_else",
          "p": 0.0055
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "n": 54,
      "candidates": [
        {
          "key": "Tretina",
          "p": 0.6863
        },
        {
          "key": "Kynera",
          "p": 0.2154
        },
        {
          "key": "Beranova",
          "p": 0.0065
        },
        {
          "key": "RedovaFajmonova",
          "p": 0.0277
        },
        {
          "key": "Ruzicka",
          "p": 0.0295
        },
        {
          "key": "Cerny",
          "p": 0.0344
        },
        {
          "key": "Someone_else",
          "p": 0.0002
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "n": 57,
      "candidates": [
        {
          "key": "Grolich",
          "p": 0.9493
        },
        {
          "key": "Absolonova",
          "p": 0.0455
        },
        {
          "key": "Fladr",
          "p": 0.0048
        },
        {
          "key": "Someone_else",
          "p": 0.0003
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "n": 60,
      "candidates": [
        {
          "key": "Papousek",
          "p": 0.8041
        },
        {
          "key": "Zitterbart",
          "p": 0.0794
        },
        {
          "key": "Sterba",
          "p": 0.0807
        },
        {
          "key": "Someone_else",
          "p": 0.0359
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "n": 63,
      "candidates": [
        {
          "key": "Navarik",
          "p": 0.273
        },
        {
          "key": "Vrana",
          "p": 0.6831
        },
        {
          "key": "Chromec",
          "p": 0.0293
        },
        {
          "key": "Obrtel",
          "p": 0.0143
        },
        {
          "key": "Someone_else",
          "p": 0.0003
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "n": 66,
      "candidates": [
        {
          "key": "Ostadal",
          "p": 0.221
        },
        {
          "key": "Kohajda",
          "p": 0.5701
        },
        {
          "key": "Skurek",
          "p": 0.165
        },
        {
          "key": "Jelinek",
          "p": 0.0312
        },
        {
          "key": "Someone_else",
          "p": 0.0126
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "n": 69,
      "candidates": [
        {
          "key": "Pesatova",
          "p": 0.5751
        },
        {
          "key": "Korc",
          "p": 0.2879
        },
        {
          "key": "Krpel",
          "p": 0.0645
        },
        {
          "key": "Someone_else",
          "p": 0.0725
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "n": 72,
      "candidates": [
        {
          "key": "Simetka",
          "p": 0.6081
        },
        {
          "key": "Barankova_Vilamova",
          "p": 0.2919
        },
        {
          "key": "Loprais",
          "p": 0.0276
        },
        {
          "key": "Someone_else",
          "p": 0.0725
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "n": 75,
      "candidates": [
        {
          "key": "Brzyszkowska",
          "p": 0.7645
        },
        {
          "key": "Szyja",
          "p": 0.0871
        },
        {
          "key": "Polach",
          "p": 0.0495
        },
        {
          "key": "Stanek",
          "p": 0.0645
        },
        {
          "key": "Kazik",
          "p": 0.022
        },
        {
          "key": "Someone_else",
          "p": 0.0123
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "n": 78,
      "candidates": [
        {
          "key": "Golan",
          "p": 0.7778
        },
        {
          "key": "Mitacek",
          "p": 0.0987
        },
        {
          "key": "Sedlarik",
          "p": 0.0958
        },
        {
          "key": "Someone_else",
          "p": 0.0278
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "n": 81,
      "candidates": [
        {
          "key": "Bazala",
          "p": 0.8787
        },
        {
          "key": "Vasica",
          "p": 0.0805
        },
        {
          "key": "Balastikova",
          "p": 0.0201
        },
        {
          "key": "Someone_else",
          "p": 0.0207
        }
      ]
    }
  ]
}