{
  "experiment": "senat-2026",
  "series": "blend",
  "date": "2026-10-09",
  "rho": 0.55,
  "method": "log-odds pool of AI s modelem and de-vigged market, w_blind=(1-rho)/(2-rho)",
  "districts": [
    {
      "n": 3,
      "candidates": [
        {
          "key": "Plevny",
          "p": 0.5162
        },
        {
          "key": "Tsoukernik",
          "p": 0.4138
        },
        {
          "key": "Cerna",
          "p": 0.0305
        },
        {
          "key": "Someone_else",
          "p": 0.0395
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "n": 6,
      "candidates": [
        {
          "key": "Tresl",
          "p": 0.6643
        },
        {
          "key": "Mikolas",
          "p": 0.2348
        },
        {
          "key": "Steiner",
          "p": 0.0436
        },
        {
          "key": "Someone_else",
          "p": 0.0573
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "n": 9,
      "candidates": [
        {
          "key": "Aschenbrenner",
          "p": 0.3573
        },
        {
          "key": "Rehka",
          "p": 0.5332
        },
        {
          "key": "Kantorova",
          "p": 0.0493
        },
        {
          "key": "Pouskova",
          "p": 0.0185
        },
        {
          "key": "Someone_else",
          "p": 0.0418
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "n": 12,
      "candidates": [
        {
          "key": "Fiala",
          "p": 0.8755
        },
        {
          "key": "Hrdinova",
          "p": 0.0968
        },
        {
          "key": "Usaty",
          "p": 0.0276
        },
        {
          "key": "Someone_else",
          "p": 0.0001
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "n": 15,
      "candidates": [
        {
          "key": "Med",
          "p": 0.4363
        },
        {
          "key": "Chalupsky",
          "p": 0.2247
        },
        {
          "key": "Kozar",
          "p": 0.2979
        },
        {
          "key": "PavluRadova",
          "p": 0.0244
        },
        {
          "key": "Someone_else",
          "p": 0.0167
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "n": 18,
      "candidates": [
        {
          "key": "Stepanek",
          "p": 0.8792
        },
        {
          "key": "Danhova",
          "p": 0.0695
        },
        {
          "key": "Luftova",
          "p": 0.026
        },
        {
          "key": "Sorna",
          "p": 0.0142
        },
        {
          "key": "Someone_else",
          "p": 0.0112
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "n": 21,
      "candidates": [
        {
          "key": "Sablik",
          "p": 0.3213
        },
        {
          "key": "Laska",
          "p": 0.5472
        },
        {
          "key": "Sarapatka",
          "p": 0.0909
        },
        {
          "key": "Broz",
          "p": 0.0274
        },
        {
          "key": "Someone_else",
          "p": 0.0132
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "n": 24,
      "candidates": [
        {
          "key": "Smoljak",
          "p": 0.7869
        },
        {
          "key": "Peckova",
          "p": 0.1768
        },
        {
          "key": "Zalud",
          "p": 0.0219
        },
        {
          "key": "Laube",
          "p": 0.0086
        },
        {
          "key": "Someone_else",
          "p": 0.0057
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "n": 27,
      "candidates": [
        {
          "key": "Padevet",
          "p": 0.5473
        },
        {
          "key": "J_Cizinsky",
          "p": 0.3778
        },
        {
          "key": "Dudra",
          "p": 0.0446
        },
        {
          "key": "Someone_else",
          "p": 0.0303
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "n": 30,
      "candidates": [
        {
          "key": "Sipova",
          "p": 0.4608
        },
        {
          "key": "Patak",
          "p": 0.3239
        },
        {
          "key": "Gerloch",
          "p": 0.1175
        },
        {
          "key": "Someone_else",
          "p": 0.0978
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "n": 33,
      "candidates": [
        {
          "key": "Linhart",
          "p": 0.8651
        },
        {
          "key": "Hejcman",
          "p": 0.0764
        },
        {
          "key": "Lehka",
          "p": 0.0337
        },
        {
          "key": "Skalicky",
          "p": 0.0096
        },
        {
          "key": "Someone_else",
          "p": 0.0152
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "n": 36,
      "candidates": [
        {
          "key": "Puta",
          "p": 0.5311
        },
        {
          "key": "Volfova",
          "p": 0.2841
        },
        {
          "key": "Vosecky",
          "p": 0.1194
        },
        {
          "key": "Vomacka",
          "p": 0.0587
        },
        {
          "key": "Someone_else",
          "p": 0.0067
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "n": 39,
      "candidates": [
        {
          "key": "Sobotka",
          "p": 0.9521
        },
        {
          "key": "Chovancova",
          "p": 0.0397
        },
        {
          "key": "Mraz",
          "p": 0.005
        },
        {
          "key": "Someone_else",
          "p": 0.0031
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "n": 42,
      "candidates": [
        {
          "key": "Kaspar",
          "p": 0.7247
        },
        {
          "key": "Schulz",
          "p": 0.1127
        },
        {
          "key": "Brzobohata",
          "p": 0.095
        },
        {
          "key": "Sehnal",
          "p": 0.0395
        },
        {
          "key": "Someone_else",
          "p": 0.0281
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "n": 45,
      "candidates": [
        {
          "key": "Dvorak",
          "p": 0.5664
        },
        {
          "key": "Holasek",
          "p": 0.1813
        },
        {
          "key": "Ceralova_Petrofova",
          "p": 0.1462
        },
        {
          "key": "Hulkova",
          "p": 0.0838
        },
        {
          "key": "Someone_else",
          "p": 0.0223
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "n": 48,
      "candidates": [
        {
          "key": "Grulich",
          "p": 0.9315
        },
        {
          "key": "Sadovsky",
          "p": 0.0683
        },
        {
          "key": "Someone_else",
          "p": 0.0002
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "n": 51,
      "candidates": [
        {
          "key": "Klement",
          "p": 0.6931
        },
        {
          "key": "Cerny",
          "p": 0.1415
        },
        {
          "key": "Smarda",
          "p": 0.1337
        },
        {
          "key": "Koten",
          "p": 0.0254
        },
        {
          "key": "Someone_else",
          "p": 0.0064
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "n": 54,
      "candidates": [
        {
          "key": "Tretina",
          "p": 0.6788
        },
        {
          "key": "Kynera",
          "p": 0.2362
        },
        {
          "key": "Beranova",
          "p": 0.008
        },
        {
          "key": "RedovaFajmonova",
          "p": 0.0278
        },
        {
          "key": "Ruzicka",
          "p": 0.0258
        },
        {
          "key": "Cerny",
          "p": 0.0233
        },
        {
          "key": "Someone_else",
          "p": 0.0002
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "n": 57,
      "candidates": [
        {
          "key": "Grolich",
          "p": 0.9598
        },
        {
          "key": "Absolonova",
          "p": 0.0361
        },
        {
          "key": "Fladr",
          "p": 0.0037
        },
        {
          "key": "Someone_else",
          "p": 0.0003
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "n": 60,
      "candidates": [
        {
          "key": "Papousek",
          "p": 0.8282
        },
        {
          "key": "Zitterbart",
          "p": 0.0745
        },
        {
          "key": "Sterba",
          "p": 0.0703
        },
        {
          "key": "Someone_else",
          "p": 0.0269
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "n": 63,
      "candidates": [
        {
          "key": "Navarik",
          "p": 0.2881
        },
        {
          "key": "Vrana",
          "p": 0.6797
        },
        {
          "key": "Chromec",
          "p": 0.0213
        },
        {
          "key": "Obrtel",
          "p": 0.0106
        },
        {
          "key": "Someone_else",
          "p": 0.0003
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "n": 66,
      "candidates": [
        {
          "key": "Ostadal",
          "p": 0.1871
        },
        {
          "key": "Kohajda",
          "p": 0.5891
        },
        {
          "key": "Skurek",
          "p": 0.177
        },
        {
          "key": "Jelinek",
          "p": 0.0356
        },
        {
          "key": "Someone_else",
          "p": 0.0112
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "n": 69,
      "candidates": [
        {
          "key": "Pesatova",
          "p": 0.5878
        },
        {
          "key": "Korc",
          "p": 0.2957
        },
        {
          "key": "Krpel",
          "p": 0.0385
        },
        {
          "key": "Someone_else",
          "p": 0.0781
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "n": 72,
      "candidates": [
        {
          "key": "Simetka",
          "p": 0.6108
        },
        {
          "key": "Barankova_Vilamova",
          "p": 0.2997
        },
        {
          "key": "Loprais",
          "p": 0.0241
        },
        {
          "key": "Someone_else",
          "p": 0.0654
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "n": 75,
      "candidates": [
        {
          "key": "Brzyszkowska",
          "p": 0.7761
        },
        {
          "key": "Szyja",
          "p": 0.0695
        },
        {
          "key": "Polach",
          "p": 0.037
        },
        {
          "key": "Stanek",
          "p": 0.0752
        },
        {
          "key": "Kazik",
          "p": 0.0244
        },
        {
          "key": "Someone_else",
          "p": 0.0178
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "n": 78,
      "candidates": [
        {
          "key": "Golan",
          "p": 0.7688
        },
        {
          "key": "Mitacek",
          "p": 0.0906
        },
        {
          "key": "Sedlarik",
          "p": 0.1111
        },
        {
          "key": "Someone_else",
          "p": 0.0295
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "n": 81,
      "candidates": [
        {
          "key": "Bazala",
          "p": 0.9101
        },
        {
          "key": "Vasica",
          "p": 0.0541
        },
        {
          "key": "Balastikova",
          "p": 0.0183
        },
        {
          "key": "Someone_else",
          "p": 0.0175
        }
      ]
    }
  ]
}
