open seat (Zitterbart runs in Brno) As of 2026-10-09 · Stage: blind (no odds) · v1
counted 100 % · Source: ČSÚ (volbyhned.cz)
| Candidate | Party / backing | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan Grolich | KDU-ČSL | 37 071 | 63.34 % |
| Petra Absolonová | ANO | 17 553 | 29.99 % |
| Jaroslav Fládr | PŘÍSAHA | 3 898 | 6.66 % |
| Candidate | AI | Statistical model | AI + model | Betting | AI + betting |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan Grolich | 80 % | 49 % | 76 % | 98 % | 96 % |
| Petra Absolonová | 19 % | 32 % | 22 % | 1 % | 4 % |
| Jaroslav Fládr | 0.7 % | 19 % | 2 % | 0.2 % | 0.4 % |
| Others | 0.3 % | 0 % | 0.5 % | 0 % | 0.0 % |
| Candidate | Party / backing | P(win) | Band |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan Grolich | KDU-ČSL | 80 % | 68–90 % |
| Petra Absolonová | ANO | 19 % | 9–31 % |
| Jaroslav Fládr | PŘÍSAHA | 0.7 % | 0–2 % |
| Others | 0.3 % | 0–1 % |
Other candidates on the ballot: —. Candidates and lists per the official ČSÚ register (volby.gov.cz).
| Candidate | Party / backing | AI agent (blind) | Statistical model | Round-1 share (model, 80% interval) | P(advance / win round 1) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan Grolich | KDU-ČSL | 80 % | 49 % | 36 % (27–45) | 80 % |
| Petra Absolonová | ANO | 19 % | 32 % | 40 % (31–48) | 91 % |
| Jaroslav Fládr | PŘÍSAHA | 0.7 % | 19 % | 25 % (16–33) | 20 % |
AI agent (blind) — Others: 0.3 %. The model cannot see candidates with neither party nor municipal base (new movements, personal brand) — it underrates them. Model →
Blocs that split in 2020 now back a single candidate. ~50 % chance of an outright round-1 win.
Grolich above 50 % settles it; if Absolonová leads, ~58 %.
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